Hull City's exact points total as Tigers' Championship play-off fate predicted

CommentsSportBrian Dick Reach Football Correspondent13:00, 11 Mar 2026Hull City are nailed on for a play-off spot – but their hopes of gatecrashing the automatic promotion places are slim.

That’s according to the number-crunchers at Opta who give City just a 1.1% chance of edging ahead of Middlesbrough into second place – even after Tuesday night’s 2-1 win at Wrexham.

Goals from Joe Gelhardt and Lewis Koumas drew Sergej Jakirovic’s team to within six points of Boro, albeit having played a game more, at the time of writing.

Millwall and Ipswich are sandwiched in between, with the Lions only a point behind the Teessiders, again having played 37 games.

However, the Tigers are 88.74% likely to finish in the top six, with, as things stand, fifth spot earning them a two-leg semi-final against the Tractor Boys.

Kieran McKenna's side have done the double over City this season, winning 1-0 at Portman Road last week and 2-0 at the MKM Stadium in November.

City are predicted to finish on 76 points, six clear of Wrexham who are tipped to edge out Southampton in sixth. Coventry City are 98% likely to go up.

As for the relegation battle it’s West Brom, Oxford and Sheffield United to go down, with the Baggies in 22nd on 49 points.

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